Research article
F. Mortazavi 1 and A. Akaberi 2
تقدير الوزن عند الولادة بقياس ارتفاع قعر الرحم ومحيط البطن لدى الماخضات في تمام الحمل
فروغ مرتضوي، آرش اكابري
الخلاصـة: يدرس الباحثان في هذه الدراسة الوصفية الاستقبالية فائدة قياس ارتفاع قعر الرحم عن ارتفاق العانة، وحصيلة ضرب محيط البطن بارتفاع قعر الرحم في توقع وزن الوليد الذي يقل عن 2500 غراماً، ويزيد عن 4000 غراماً. وقد قاس الباحثان ارتفاع قعر الرحم ومحيط البطن في بدء إدخال العينة المدروسة إلى إحدى المستشفيات التعليمية في جمهورية إيران الإسلامية، وقد بلغ عددهن 795 ماخضاً. واستخدم الباحثان منحنى خصائص التشغيل للمتلقي لاختيار أفضل نقاط الفصل. ووجدا أن حصيلة ضرب محيط البطن بارتفاع قعر الرحم مع قيمة فصل 3900 غرام أفضل لتوقع وزن الولادة الذي يزيد عن 4000 غرام، وأن نموذج التقهقر لارتفاع قعر الرحم مع نقطة فصل عند 3000 غرام هي أفضل منبئ للوليد المنخفض الوزن.
ABSTRACT In a prospective descriptive study, the usefulness of symphysis–fundal height and the product of abdominal girth and fundal height in predicting birth weight 4000 g were examined. Fundal height and abdominal girth were measured at the time of admission on a sample of 795 parturient women at a teaching hospital in the Islamic Republic of Iran. Receiver operating characteristics curve analysis was used to select the best cut-off points. The product of abdominal girth × fundal height with the cut-off at 3900 g performed better for predicting birth weight > 4000 g, but for low birth weight, the regression model of fundal height with cut-off at 3000 g was a better predictor.
Estimation du poids de naissance par la mesure de la hauteur utérine et du tour de taille de parturientes à terme
RÉSUMÉ Une étude prospective descriptive a permis d’évaluer l’utilité de la mesure de la distance entre la symphyse pubienne et le fond utérin, et du produit du tour de taille par la hauteur utérine pour l’estimation des poids de naissance inférieurs à 2500 g et supérieurs à 4000 g. La hauteur utérine et le tour de taille ont été mesurés sur un échantillon de 795 parturientes lors de leur admission dans un hôpital universitaire en République islamique d’Iran. L’analyse de la courbe ROC (pour Receiver Operating Characteristics) a été utilisée pour sélectionner les meilleures valeurs de seuil. Le produit du tour de taille par la hauteur utérine, avec une valeur de seuil de 3900 g, a permis d’obtenir les meilleures estimations pour les poids de naissance supérieurs à 4000 g. En revanche, pour les faibles poids de naissance, le modèle de régression de la hauteur utérine, avec valeur de seuil de 3000 g, produisait de meilleures estimations.
1Department of Midwifery; 2Department of Health, Sabzevar Faculty of Medical Sciences, Sabzevar, Islamic Republic of Iran (Correspondence to F. Mortazavi:
Received: 15/02/08; accepted: 28/05/08
EMHJ, 2010, 16(5):553-557
Introduction
Precise estimation of birth weight (BW) is one of the most important measures at the beginning of labour. This is especially important in developing countries where many births occur at home or at birth centres without adequate facilities. In these circumstances diagnosis of macrosomic and light fetuses can result in timely referral of diagnosed cases to well-equipped hospitals.
There are 2 common methods of estimation of BW: sonographic evaluation and clinical palpation [1]. In developing countries, ultrasonography may be unavailable or may not be affordable by patients. Physician estimates of BW by palpation are as reliable as, or superior to, those made from ultrasonographic measurements of the fetus [2]. However, their accuracy depends on experience, which may be lacking in many obstetric care personnel in developing countries [1]. That is why measurement of fundal height (FH) using inexpensive and easily available non-elastic tapes has been recommended as a means of assessing BW in low-resource countries.
In some studies BW 4000 g have been proposed as the cut-off points for predicting BW using FH measurement only [1–6]. Since the size of the fetus affects the abdominal girth (AG), a cut-off point for AG as a predictor of BW < 2500 g has been calculated [7]. Still other studies have developed formulas based on the regression of BW on both FH and AG for predicting BW [8,9]. Dare et al. and Bothner et al. used the product of symphysis–FH and AG at the level of the umbilicus to estimate BW at term in utero, and their estimates correlated well with BW [10,11]. These 2 studies did not consider BW 4000 g. Shittu et al. compared the product of symphysis–FH and AG with sonographic estimation of BW and found that the product formula performed as well as sonographic estimation, except in BW < 2500 g [12].
The aim of this study was to further examine and compare the performance of the product formula of FH × AG with that of the formula based on FH alone, to clarify whether taking an extra measurement, i.e. AG, improves the prediction of BW. Since studies have concluded that FH [1,12–14], the product formula [11,14] or formulas based on both FH and AG [8] are not powerful predictors of BW 4000 g [1,8,11–14], we aimed to test the hypothesis that changing the cut-off points of the 2 formulas would be improved in the case of BW 4000 g.
Methods
A prospective descriptive study was undertaken from 1 May to 1 August 2003 on 795 consecutive parturient women hospitalized at Mobini teaching and maternity hospital affiliated to Sabzevar Faculty of Medical Sciences, Islamic Republic of Iran, which is the only maternity hospital in this region providing standard maternity services to urban and rural women. The purpose of the original study was to estimate gestational age by measurement of FH and AG in parturient women at term [13]. For this paper we reanalysed the data collected to estimate BW by the product formula.
Sample
Based on receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve power analysis, the sample sizes required for achieving 80% power to detect a difference of 0.25 between the area under the ROC curve of 0.5, using a significance level of 0.05, was 11 for the positive group ( 4000 g) and 500 from the negative group (≤ 4000 g) [15,16]. The differences of 0.25 and 0.30 were obtained by analysing the ROC curves, and the specified sample sizes were the maximum required for analysing the power of each formula. The size of the sample in the present study in each BW group was larger than the specified maximum required sample size.
The inclusion criteria were: alive, single and term fetuses with longitudinal lie. The exclusion criteria were: documented severe fetal congenital anomalies; preterm labour; presence of a thick deposited layer of fat at the lower abdomen; maternal weight > 91 kg; and clinical or ultrasonic evidence of uterine fibroids, oligohydramnios or polyhydramnios.
Data collection
The data were obtained by interview and by means of clinical assessment. The background characteristics of women were obtained by interview. Vaginal examination was carried out to determine the fetal station. As soon as a woman meeting the above criteria was admitted for vaginal or abdominal delivery, symphysis–FH and AG at the level of umbilicus were measured.
FH was measured using a non-elastic tape from the highest point on the uterine fundus to the midpoint of the upper border of the symphysis pubis. The thumb was used to hold the tape while attempting to reach the upper border of the symphysis pubis. Measurement was made 3 times using the tape reverse-side up to avoid any bias. The mean of the 3 readings was then obtained to the nearest centimetre. The same precautions for preventing bias were made in the case of AG. Abdominal measurements were taken in the supine position with little flexion of legs, after emptying the bladder and during uterine relaxation periods. All the measurements were taken by 2 members of the research team who had been trained for the task. Informed written consent was obtained from all the women.
To test the intra-rater reliability of trained observers, we asked them to take FH and AG measurements in 30 parturients. The mean difference for AG and FH measurements between 2 trained observers was 1.35 mm and 1.52 mm respectively. Also 98.0% of AG measurement differences and 97.2% of FH measurement differences were between ± 10 mm comparing the 2 observers. To further examine the intra-rater reliability we used Bland–Altman scatter plots. The differences between the trained observers’ measurements were plotted against the mean of the observers’ measurements. Intra-rater scatter plots demonstrated that 96% of all AG and 92% of all FH measurement differences were within 2 standard deviations (SD) of acceptable levels of agreement.
The actual BW of the baby was measured in grams to the nearest 50 g by the midwife on duty within an hour of delivery using a weighing scale. The midwives who weighed the babies after birth were blind to the intrapartum estimates of BW.
Birth weight estimates
The 1st formula for estimating BW was the method of Dare et al. as the product of symphysis–FH and AG at the level of the umbilicus measured in cm [17]: BW = FH × abdominal girth.
The 2nd formula for estimating BW was obtained by regression of BW on FH using sample data from the original study [13]: BW = (FH × 87) + 515.
Data analysis
To predict BW 4000 g, the ROC curve was used to select cut-off points with the best sensitivity and specificity. Levels of significance in this study were P < 0.05. The data were analysed using Pearson correlation coefficient, t-test, covariance analysis and ROC curve, using SPSS software, version 15.
Results
The study group consisted of 795 women, 442 (55.6%) of whom were primiparous and 353 multiparous. The mean and standard deviation (SD) age and weight of the women were 25.0 (SD 5.28) years and 69.6 (SD 10.8) kg respectively.
The mean FH was 34.6 (SD 3.1) cm, range 24–47 cm, and for AG was 99.2 (SD 8.7) cm, range 75–124 cm. The mean product of FH × AG was 3440 (SD 540) cm, range 2184–5640 cm. All the mean values were higher in multiparous women than in primiparous women (P < 0.001) (Table 1).
In 173 (21.8%) of the cases engagement had already occurred at the time of admission. Covariance analysis, adjusted for age and weight of the woman, revealed significant differences in the mean value of FH between the 173 women presenting with the fetus part-engaged and the 622 with the fetus unengaged [33.5 (SD 3.1) cm versus 34.8 (SD 3.0) (P < 0.001)].
The mean actual BW of the infants was 3212 (SD 421) g, range 1600–4450 g. There were 27 (3.4%) newborns with BW > 4000 g and 27 (3.4%) with BW < 2500 g.
All the correlation coefficients between the measured parameters for both the primiparous and multiparous group were significantly different from zero (P < 0.001). The correlation coefficients between maternal indicators and BW were higher in the primiparous than in multiparous women. The correlation between FH and BW was stronger than the correlation between the product of FH × AG and BW (0.58 versus 0.56) (Table 2).
The best cut-off points of BW for detecting BW 4000 g were determined for each formula using ROC curves. The cut-off point for predicting BW > 4000 g was 3900 g based on the FH × AG formula and 3450 g based on the regression model of BW on FH. The sensitivity and specificity of the obtained cut-off point for the FH × AG formula for the detection of BW > 4000 g were 81.3% (95% CI: 80.2%–82.4%) and 82.2% (95% CI: 81.2%–83.2%) respectively. The corresponding values for the regression model of BW on FH were 75.0% (95% CI: 73.7%–76.3%) and 85.4% (95% CI: 84.5%–86.3%) (Table 3).
To predict BW < 2500 g, a single cut-off point equal to 3000 g was obtained for both formulas. Sensitivity and specificity of the obtained cut-off point for the FH × AG formula were 70.4% (95% CI: 68.9%–71.8%) and 79.9% (95% CI: 78.8%–81.0%) respectively and for the regression model of BW on FH formula, the corresponding values were 77.8% (95% CI: 76.6%–79.0%) and 85.5% (95% CI: 84.6%–86.4%) (Table 4). The cut-off points were selected on the basis that we considered a satisfactory level of sensitivity to be at least 70% and also sought a relatively high level of specificity.
Discussion
In this study, 2 estimators of birth weight, that is a regression model of FH and the product of FH × AG were evaluated and compared, with particular emphasis on BW 4000 g. Our results showed that the mean values for weight of parturient, BW, FH and AG were higher in multiparous than in primiparous parturients. This is due to the fact that multiparous women generally tended to be fatter; this leads to higher BW which in turn results in higher values of FH and AG. In other studies this correlation coefficient was as follows: 0.56 [11], 0.91 [1], 0.59 [3], 0.74 [4], 0.87 [6], 0.74 [9] and 0.72 [5]. The correlation between the product of FH × AG and BW was 0.56 in our study. In other studies it was 0.74 and 0.57 respectively [10,14].
As stated above, by using the ROC curve we were able to find cut-off points of BW for each formula in which they could predict BW 4000 g with maximum accuracy. The results indicate that using the product of FH × AG the cut-off point 3900 g was a better estimator of high BW (> 4000 g) than the regression model of FH at the cut-off point 3450 g, and the regression model of FH at cut-off point 3000 g was a stronger predictor of low BW (< 2500 g) than the FH × AG formula.
A number of studies have found a strong correlation between BW and FH, BW and AG and BW and the product formula [1,3–14,18]. However, most of them concluded that these indicators were not strong enough for the purpose of predicting BW 4000 g [1,3,5,7,8,14,17]. Shittu et al., for example, concluded that although the product of FH × AG was as accurate as routine ultrasonographic estimation, it did not perform as satisfactorily in cases of low BW [12]. Berry et al. has concluded that neither clinical nor ultrasonographic parameters were satisfactory in identifying low-birth-weight fetuses [18]. Woo et al. reported that a formula based on the regression of BW on FH and AG [BW = –1.515 + (0.092 × FH) + (0.016 × AG)] was a powerful predictor of BW between 2500–3500 g but was not accurate enough in predicting BW 3500 g [8]. They concluded that all the generated equations obtained from their sample similarly underestimated the BW in the larger babies and overestimated it in the smaller babies. Onah et al. also found a strong correlation (0.91) between FH and BW, but concluded that the regression model of FH was more useful in predicting BW between 2500–3999 g [1]. Kraiem’s study, covering 400 cases of macrosomia, showed that the regression model of FH was not strong enough in predicting BW > 4000 g [12].
As can be seen, our correlations were lower than, or at best equal to, the above mentioned studies. These weaker correlations and the fact that the cited studies, despite their reported higher correlations, produced unsatisfactory results in the case of predicting BW 4000 g would have led us to expect equally unsatisfactory or worse results in such cases too. In fact, applying the usual cut-off points (i.e. 2500 g and 4000 g), we also obtained weak results which were in line with such expectations. However, we found that the shortcomings affecting these indicators could be overcome by using different cut-off points and employing the formula which performs better in predicting BW 4000 g.
Our results indicate that in the case of BW > 4000 g, the FH × AG formula and a cut-off point of 3900 g performed better in predicting BW, and in the case of BW < 2500 g, the regression of BW on FH formula and a cut-off point of 3000 g produced better predictions. Therefore we conclude that by selecting appropriate cut-off points specific to each community and employing the appropriate formula, it will be possible to utilize the 2 formulae for predicting BW 4000 g.
Acknowledgements
We acknowledge funding from Sabzevar Faculty of Medical Sciences.
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